Oldfist wrote:cxt wrote:
Millions long for immortality who do not know what to do with themselves on a rainy Sunday afternoon. ~Susan Ertz, Anger in the Sky
~And people who fear the unknown always fear immortality.
-Metablade
What technology - the magical ones that you are claiming will exist but don't yet?-Metablade- wrote:Meta: See, I don't buy that "are we bright enough to handle the technology?" argument because clearly we are, otherwise we could not have discovered these things.Oldfist wrote: We are good at imagining and that's cool, but we may not be bright enough to either understand what is really going on or to implement it in useful and nonharmful ways. For example, with all our great ability and knowledge we can't even make a decent Cox -2 inhibitor (Vioxx). It is clear that we really don't know Jack about making drugs and their side effects. We stumble along doing some definite and significant good, but mainly making a fortune for drug companies.
Oldfist wrote: The real frontier and barrier that needs to be overcome is that we have a really, really, really, .... (omega times) poor understanding of what exactly a human being (organism) is and how it functions on the molecular level. Yes, we have mapped the human genome and that's wonderful. We know about how many and where the proteins are, but we still have very little understanding of the function and interaction of each of the individual proteins. So, in order to successfully apply any new technology to the human body, we must e.g. first make significant progress in proteomics, and this is just the tip of the iceberg.
Really, again, about exactly which issues ?Meta: It's only a matter of (exponential) time before these issues become clear. That's all.
Oldfist wrote: Isn't unbridled belief in the human race's purported ability to figure everything out about the universe just another flavor of (pseudo-scientific) anthropocentrism? Doesn't it fly in the face of real scientific inquiry? It's fun to speculate, but it is what it is, namely unscientific speculation.
Well, yes that's a fine example of a literary device called "hyperbole."Meta: To quote Shakespeare:
"What a piece of work is man! How noble in reason! how infinite in faculties! in form and moving, how express and admirable! in action how like an angel! in apprehension, how like a god!"
Oldfist wrote: I think the right (objective scientific) attitude is the one expressed by Richard Feynman (Nobel prize winning physicist). He often said that he didn't prejudge what science is or what it should be, but rather "he just wanted to find out about the world," and that if it came out all nice and neatly arranged, that was fine, or if it turned out to be an onion with an unbounded number of layers that we always must keep peeling off forever than that was fine too. He "just wanted to find out about the world," how ever he could and in what way it might reveal itself to us (humans).
Don't you think this "Event" is kinda vague?Meta: Right.
I'm not saying that we will find out everything there is to know in the next 50 years. I'm simply saying that there is an
"Event" which we are rushing towards within the concept of technology, one wherein Medicine, Traditional Technology, and Quantum physics will unify.
No, you don't.I hate to say I'm right, but while I am indeed "guessing", I am making reasonable assertions based upon current trends, research, and technology levels.
This type of argument is similar to my gambler friends who only report all the times that they won, but not their overall winnings/losses. I wonder what your predictions were regarding fusion reactors and energy, or real artificial intellgence promised 20 years ago to be realized in ten years.I would also add, that I have been making such predictions about technological advancement for the last 25 years.
I have not been wrong yet.
Oldfist wrote:-Metablade- wrote:Oldfist wrote: What technology - the magical ones that you are claiming will exist but don't yet?
That's not a fair statement because both you and I know
which technologies we are talking about here.
:p
Be careful, you kinda morphed what I said.![]()
Meta: I do that sometimes...
...You'd be surprised at how often it works..
Note that this is only appropriate healthy skepticism like:
To know that you know nothing is best.
To pretend to know when you do not is a disease.
-Lao Tzu
Meta: Hoist me by my own petard, would you?
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Ok, my good friend, to that I will reluctantly concede!-Metablade- wrote: Meta: I predicted that Fusion would be achieved in the laboratory mid-90's. Problem was, Energy input was higher than output.
I had predicted the first Fusion reactor going online by 2020.
True AI has a bit longer to go, in fact probably until the first Quantum Computer.
Besides, can't you just accept that I'm a super-genius and move on?
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My pleasure!cxt wrote:
Oldfist
Thank you!
Could not for the life of me rememeber the exact wording or whom said it.
(as I write down the correct attribution for next time)
Panther, thanks and best of luck to you taking care of your Mom's estate. I don't know your circumstances, but I had to do that a few years ago too, and it can be a tough time dealing with everything.Panther wrote: ... Even though I've been very busy handling my Mom's estate and various other asundry business related items..
As always...
Take care and be good to each other...